Gold price action on September 8th: During Monday and Tuesday's Asian sessions, gold has been trading in a narrow consolidation pattern, with traders awaiting a directional breakout. The Monday low sits at 4381, while Tuesday's Asian session high reached 4443, establishing the current normal trading range. Any breakout beyond these levels could signal trend continuation in either direction.
From a technical perspective, the 1-hour Bollinger Bands are running parallel, and early morning prices faced resistance at the upper band before reversing lower, decisively breaking through the middle band. The 1-hour Z-turn indicator has yet to print a bottom signal, suggesting traders should wait for that confirmation before attempting long positions targeting a rebound. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index early high was 99.18, currently trading at 98.75, with the 1-hour K-line showing a bullish reversal. The strength of any dollar rebound hinges on the 98.9 level; unless broken downward, gold retains its bullish bias, but a break above could pressure gold lower again.
The Nasdaq index is mirroring gold's movements, having also turned lower. A break below the 4-hour support at 29491 would likely trigger another volume-driven decline, which could simultaneously drag gold toward downside breaks. Gold's morning rebound has now been fully retraced, with the daily K-line forming a long upper shadow bearish candle, increasing the probability of further downside. The 4400 level warrants a single long entry with standard stop-loss, letting the rebound strength dictate evening positioning decisions.
Key support levels today include the 1-hour lower band at 4381, the 4-hour lower band at 4372, and the daily MA120 moving average at 4350. Further downside targets lie at 4330 and 4300. On the resistance side, focus on the 4436-4443 zone formed by yesterday's high and today's high. The recommended approach is to favor selling on rallies while buying dips as secondary strategy.
Gold trading strategy: Spot price is currently at 4400. Long at 4400 with stop at 4395, targeting 4410-4420; long at 4382 with stop at 4376, targeting 4400-4420-4435; short at 4435 and again at 4440 with stop at 4445, targeting 4418-4400-4385.
Crude oil price action: As noted last night, oil breaking above the previous high of 93.6 would test the 95 level, and that view remains unchanged. The first two trading days of the week characterize oil as a slow grind higher, with all moving average indicators across the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes pointing upward. The 1-hour K-line is showing five consecutive bullish candles, with price trading directly above the upper Bollinger Band. Short-term pullback space appears limited; unless the 93 level breaks, downside scenarios should be dismissed. Aggressive traders can wait for a pullback toward 93.1 to initiate longs targeting 95 or higher.
Resistance remains at the frequently mentioned 95 level, where an initial test may trigger a pullback, and traders should manage short-term positions accordingly. Above that, the previous high at 97 serves as the next reference point; a break above could accelerate gains toward the monthly Bollinger upper band at 102.5. Support is defined by the 93 level and the 1-hour Bollinger middle band at 92.5 forming a support zone; unless broken, lower supports at 91.2 and 90 will not come into play. Today's strategy favors following the trend with buys on dips, selling only after price hits resistance at higher levels.
Crude oil trading strategy: Spot price is currently at 94.1. Short at the 95-95.5 high zone with stop at 96, targeting 94-93, holding for further downside if broken; long at 93.2 on downside with stop at 92.4, targeting 94.5-95.5, holding if broken; place a pending long at 95.6 on upside break with stop at 95, targeting 96.5-97+.
This content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should operate at their own risk based on their own analysis.