Consensus Upgrades Could be Coming for GrainCorp

Dow Jones
Sep 02

2351 GMT - The latest crop report by Australian government forecaster Abares is positive and likely to lead to consensus upgrades for GrainCorp, says Bell Potter. Abares raised its east-coast forecast by 2.8 million tons, or 12%. It cited improved conditions, especially in the southeast. Analyst Jonathan Snape highlights GrainCorp's margin backdrop. He says grain and oilseed crush margins look to be the strongest in three years. "To us this is key, as consensus FY27 expectations (which this crop estimate underwrites) looks to be carrying forward the margin environment of FY25-26, which was materially weaker," Bell Potter says. "This implies that there is both volume and margin upside potential within consensus FY27e expectations." Bell Potter raises its price target by 21% to A$7.15/share. GrainCorp was last A$6.26.

 

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