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June 22 turned out to be the all-time high on both the iShares semiconductor exchange-traded fund and SK Hynix, perhaps the sector bellwether after its meteoric rally of the previous year.Michael Cembalest examines what he got right and what he got wrong in his latest note.Within five weeks, the SOXX ETF SOXX tumbled almost 30%, SK Hynix  more than halved and other chip companies like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company  and Micron Technology  dropped sharply in value.How did Cembalest, the chairman of market and investment strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, manage to time the peak of the memory trade so 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